Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Brest |
41.92% ( -1.32) | 25.49% ( -0.14) | 32.59% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.43% ( 1.12) | 48.57% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.31% ( 1.01) | 70.69% ( -1.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% ( -0.16) | 23.04% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% ( -0.23) | 56.85% ( 0.23) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 1.52) | 28.25% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% ( 1.88) | 63.95% ( -1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |