MX23RW : Monday, April 29 13:37:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Brest logo

Lorient
0 - 1
Brest


Dieng (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Del Castillo (86')
Lala (45+1'), Martin (76'), Brassier (80')
Brahimi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Brest

While Brest have the third-best road record in Ligue 1 — and Lorient have the fourth-worst home return in the division — the Pirates' dearth of goals (16) in 13 away matches suggests Sunday's match will be tight. Nevertheless, Roy's team are adept against struggling clubs, pointing to a narrow victory for the second-placed side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
LorientDrawBrest
26.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 48.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (0.026999999999994 0.03)48.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (0.023 0.02)71.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.004999999999999 0)69.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Brest 48.58%
    Draw 24.85%
LorientDrawBrest
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Brest
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Brest
4-0
Lorient
Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lorient
2-1
Brest
Kone (32', 51')
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!