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FA Cup
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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Brentford logo

Wolves
3 - 2
Brentford

Semedo (36'), Frazer (72'), Cunha (105+5' pen.)
Kilman (115')
FT
(aet)
Collins (13'), Maupay (52')
Peart-Harris (86')

The Match

Match Report

Matheus Cunha scores an extra-time winner as Wolverhampton Wanderers sink Brentford 3-2 in their FA Cup third-round replay, while Bristol City beat West Ham United.

Team News

Joe Hodge starts for Wolverhampton Wanderers against Brentford in their FA Cup third round replay on Tuesday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Brentford

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
36.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 24.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 38.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)44.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)66.89% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.012 -0.01)24.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)58.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.74% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)56.42% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 36.31%
    Brentford 38.94%
    Draw 24.75%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Wolves vs Brentford

Wolverhampton Wanderers
83.7%
Draw
5.7%
Brentford
10.6%
123
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Jan 5, 2024 7.15pm
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> Preview
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