MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 12:24:57| >> :600:2993267:2993267:
Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
0 - 3
Liverpool U21s


Brown (34'), Mellon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musialowski (13'), Scanlon (28'), Clark (39')
Frauendorf (27'), Pitaluga (62'), Davidson (80')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Morecambe and Liverpool Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Liverpool Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 1-4 Boro U21s
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawLiverpool Under-21s
24.94% (0.166 0.17) 22.98% (0.303 0.3) 52.08% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 58.37% (-0.873 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-1.24 -1.24)42.04% (1.234 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-1.256 -1.26)64.44% (1.252 1.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (-0.535 -0.53)30.35% (0.529 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (-0.645 -0.65)66.54% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.613 -0.61)16.2% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-1.124 -1.12)45.69% (1.118 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 24.94%
    Liverpool Under-21s 52.08%
    Draw 22.98%
MorecambeDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.94%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.308 0.31)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2.68% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.08%

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