MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 09:29:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | 2nd Leg
May 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
2 - 0
Sunderland

Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record a 2-0 victory over Sunderland to reach the Championship playoff final, prevailing 3-2 on aggregate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
45.54% (-1.24 -1.24) 27.37% (0.338 0.34) 27.09% (0.899 0.9)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-0.691 -0.69)58.26% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-0.544 -0.54)78.89% (0.541 0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.917 -0.92)25.53% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (-1.267 -1.27)60.39% (1.262 1.26)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.379 0.38)37.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.375 0.38)74.1% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.53%
    Sunderland 27.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.337 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
47.5%
Draw
23.8%
Sunderland
28.7%
122
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Woodrow (81'), Adebayo (81'), Morris (90+1')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Doughty (23')
Embleton (78')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 28
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
rhs 2.0
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