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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 1
Sunderland

Morris (45+2')
Doughty (23'), Bell (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Embleton (78')
Evans (24'), Cirkin (63'), Clarke (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Sunderland

Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon. Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
47.47% (-0.128 -0.13) 26.01% (0.038 0.04) 26.52% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.58% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)22.57% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)56.16% (0.143 0.14)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)35.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 47.47%
    Sunderland 26.52%
    Draw 26%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
38.2%
Sunderland
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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