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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton


Cantwell (75')
McLean (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (62')
Potts (74'), Adebayo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Luton Town

Norwich's mini-slump is slightly concerning, but they are still scoring goals and playing well at home. Luton should not be taken lightly, though, and we expect them to leave Carrow Road with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
46.28% (0.225 0.23) 25.67% (-0.524 -0.52) 28.05% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.29% (1.803 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (2.247 2.25)51.32% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (1.929 1.93)73.14% (-1.935 -1.94)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (1.058 1.06)22.16% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (1.571 1.57)55.55% (-1.576 -1.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (1.419 1.42)32.82% (-1.424 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (1.55 1.55)69.39% (-1.555 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.28%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.258 0.26)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
67.5%
Draw
16.9%
Luton Town
15.7%
83
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Luton
1-3
Norwich
Gambin (57')
Hanley (8'), Rhodes (14' pen.), Pukki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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