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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Fulham logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Robinson (27' og.), McGinn (42'), Watkins (64')
Watkins (66'), Konsa (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jimenez (70')
Palhinha (52'), Robinson (64'), Iwobi (74'), Reed (90+6'), Vinicius (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa move onto 25 points from 12 Premier League matches this season courtesy of a 3-1 win over Fulham on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawFulham
63.36% (0.965 0.96) 19.87% (-0.151 -0.15) 16.77% (-0.818 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.799 -0.8)38.91% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (-0.846 -0.85)61.22% (0.842 0.84)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.019999999999996 0.02)11.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)36.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-1.426 -1.43)36.44% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-1.468 -1.47)73.23% (1.464 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 63.36%
    Fulham 16.77%
    Draw 19.87%
Aston VillaDrawFulham
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.382 0.38)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.347 0.35)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.28 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.77% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 5% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.77%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Fulham

Aston Villa
80.4%
Draw
15.5%
Fulham
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Fulham
0-2
Aston Villa

De Fougerolles (30'), Vinicius (35')
Philogene-Bidace (40'), Diaby (73')
Konsa (35'), Philogene-Bidace (47')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Fulham
3-0
Aston Villa
Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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