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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Team News

Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
32.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 41.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.211 0.21)49.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.188 0.19)71.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.119 0.12)64.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.12299999999999 0.12)23.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.54% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.35%
    Aston Villa 41.92%
    Draw 25.72%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
13.7%
Draw
10.4%
Aston Villa
75.8%
182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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