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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Brighton logo

Aston Villa
6 - 1
Brighton

Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion 6-1 to go 10 wins in a row at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
40.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.76% (0.0010000000000012 0) 35.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.92% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (-0.012 -0.01)62.28% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2%19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13%51.87%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)56.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.93%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
    Draw 23.76%
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.31%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa
35.5%
Draw
29.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
34.8%
141
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
2-0
Brighton
Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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