Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Luton Town |
50.98% ( -1.14) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 24.53% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( 1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.98% ( 1.2) | 49.02% ( -1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( 1.07) | 71.1% ( -1.07) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% ( 0.01) | 19.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% ( 0.02) | 50.94% ( -0.02) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( 1.7) | 34.46% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% ( 1.77) | 71.17% ( -1.77) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.97% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |