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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brighton
4 - 1
Luton

March (36'), Pedro (71' pen.), Adingra (85'), Ferguson (90+5')
Estupinan (7'), Mitoma (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morris (81' pen.)
Andersen (51'), Kabore (59')

The Match

Match Report

Solly March, Joao Pedro, Simon Adingra and Evan Ferguson score the goals as Brighton & Hove Albion record a 4-1 win over Luton Town in their Premier League opener at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
50.98% (-1.138 -1.14) 24.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.53% (1.169 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.93% (1.378 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (1.196 1.2)49.02% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (1.07 1.07)71.1% (-1.071 -1.07)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (0.019000000000005 0.02)50.94% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (1.697 1.7)34.46% (-1.698 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (1.766 1.77)71.17% (-1.768 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.97%
    Luton Town 24.53%
    Draw 24.49%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.97%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.53%

How you voted: Brighton vs Luton

Brighton & Hove Albion
83.8%
Draw
5.4%
Luton Town
10.8%
111
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-3
Brighton
Cornick (44')
Connolly (9'), Mwepu (35'), Tau (62')
Jul 23, 2016 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brighton
Marriott (1', 58')
Dunk (42')
Apr 12, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-2
Brighton
Parkin (49')
Hutchison (85')
Westlake (51'), Murray (59')
Mayo (45')
Nov 3, 2007 3pm
Brighton
3-1
Luton
Savage (40'), Forster (69', 85')
Edwards (79')
Spring (62'), Goodall (74'), Robinson (84')
Goodall (84')
Mar 25, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-1
Luton
Noel-Williams (18')
Kazim (36')
McShane (61' og.)
Davis (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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