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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
36.51% | 25.66% | 37.83% |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% | 48.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% | 70.8% |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% | 60.94% |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% | 25.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% | 59.94% |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |