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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
37.55% ( -0.06) | 24.61% ( 0) | 37.84% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.2% ( -0.01) | 43.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.81% ( -0.01) | 66.19% ( 0.01) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -0.04) | 23.13% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% ( -0.05) | 56.99% ( 0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0.02) | 22.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0.03) | 56.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |