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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Port Vale


Nsiala (28'), Hamer (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Loft (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams will be gunning for victory as they look to boost their survival hopes, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
37.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.54% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.6%
    Port Vale 35%
    Draw 27.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Port Vale

Burton Albion
37.7%
Draw
41.5%
Port Vale
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Burton Albion
0-2
Port Vale

Lubala (15'), Hamer (18')
Massey (31'), Cass (82')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-0
Burton Albion
Smith (18')
Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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