Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
29.43% | 26.79% | 43.79% |
Both teams to score 49.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% | 55.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% | 76.28% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% | 70.38% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% | 24.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.41% | 59.59% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.43% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |