Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
35.41% | 26.72% | 37.87% |
Both teams to score 51.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% | 53.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.2% | 74.8% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% | 28.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% | 64.59% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% | 27.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% | 62.74% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.41% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |