Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
42.88% | 26.45% | 30.67% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% | 53.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% | 74.79% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% | 24.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% | 59.12% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.33% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |