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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Athletic Bilbao logo

Alaves
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Alaves 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form has been impressive, and they beat Alaves 1-0 in the reverse match at San Mames earlier this season. We are expecting this to be a tight fixture, as Athletic have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
24.06%27.65%48.28%
Both teams to score 43.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.98%81.02%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.42%41.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93%78.06%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 24.06%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.27%
    Draw 27.65%
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 14.47%
0-2 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-3 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

Alaves
22.1%
Draw
16.2%
Athletic Bilbao
61.8%
68
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
Oct 4, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ely (74')
Duarte (85')
Duarte (86')

Garcia (19'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (64')
Feb 23, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (28' pen.), Ely (90')
Navarro (31'), Aguirregabiria (33'), Ely (52'), Pons (86')
Garcia (17')
Capa (20'), Nunez (26'), Garcia (31'), Martinez (31')
Sep 22, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Garcia (38' pen.), Muniain (72')
Simon (86')

Ely (7'), Vidal (15'), Duarte (37'), Laguardia (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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