Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
53.41% | 26.93% | 19.66% |
Both teams to score 40.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.7% | 62.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.04% | 81.96% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% | 23.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% | 57.74% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.08% | 46.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.57% | 82.42% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.99% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 4.2% 4-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.31% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |