Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
40.46% | 28.7% | 30.84% |
Both teams to score 44.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.62% | 61.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.72% | 81.27% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% | 29.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% | 65.79% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% | 36.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% | 72.82% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |