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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season. As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.99% (-0.408 -0.41) 28.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 44.48% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.89% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.367 -0.37)39.59% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.341 -0.34)76.28% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.223 0.22)27.92% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.285 0.29)63.53% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 26.99%
    Nagoya Grampus 44.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.48%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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