MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 17:42:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Yokohama

Nagai (8'), Junker (47')
Izumi (25'), Nagai (49'), Junker (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Elber (28'), Chima Fujita (35')
Matsubara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos

The two title challengers played out a 1-1 draw when they faced off in April's reverse fixture, and we think that the two closely-matched sides could replicate that result in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
32.05% (-0.593 -0.59) 25.46% (0.029 0.03) 42.49% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.307 -0.31)48.63% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (-0.278 -0.28)70.74% (0.28 0.28)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)28.62% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.672 -0.67)64.43% (0.674 0.67)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.14099999999999 0.14)22.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.21100000000001 0.21)56.49% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 32.05%
    Yokohama F Marinos 42.49%
    Draw 25.46%
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama

Nagoya Grampus
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Yokohama F Marinos
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Oct 1, 2022 8am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Yokohama
Mizunuma (16', 46'), Ceara (90'), Chima Fujita (90+6')
May 7, 2022 7am
Gameweek 12
Yokohama
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Elber (35'), Lopes (86')
Nagato (5')
Nakatani (24')
Fujii (11')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Yokohama
Nakatani (12'), Swierczok (46')
Mateus (19'), Yonemoto (73')
Sugimoto (72')
Ceara (42'), Koike (52'), Kida (55')
Aug 12, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Yokohama
2-0
Nagoya Grampus
Sugimoto (13'), Junior (33' pen.)
Kida (45+1'), Bunmathan (79')
Bunmathan (90+3')

Kakitani (10'), Mateus (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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