MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 10:57:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Kyoto Sanga

Arai (72')
Tagami (67'), Ito (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toyokawa (28'), Patric (75', 80' pen.)
Kawasaki (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kyoto Sanga

Neither team heads into this match with much confidence overall, but with both teams in a desperate need of points it is going to be a crucial match that Alibrex Niigata could just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
51.95% (-0.341 -0.34) 24.25% (0.099 0.1) 23.8% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.184 -0.18)48.66% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.169 -0.17)70.78% (0.17 0.17)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.203 -0.2)18.71% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.341 -0.34)50.07% (0.341 0.34)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.116 0.12)34.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.119 0.12)71.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 51.95%
    Kyoto Sanga 23.8%
    Draw 24.25%
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Kyoto Sanga

Albirex Niigata
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kyoto Sanga
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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