MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 20:53:24| >> :600:879827:879827:
[monks data]
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 26, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Gremio

Bahia
3 - 1
Gremio

Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')

Preview: Bahia vs. Gremio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A victory by either Gremio or Bahia at Fonte Nova Arena could go a long way to preserving the top-flight status of either side beyond 2021 when both teams face each other in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A on Friday.

Gremio are unbeaten in their last three league games, drawing Flamengo 2-2, while Bahia have failed to score in three straight fixtures playing to a 0-0 draw with Cuiaba on Sunday.


Match preview

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

They have been hovering near the relegation line all year long and their passive approach and lack of consistency has cost them as Bahia are currently positioned to drop down into Serie B, a division that they have not played in since 2016.

Only two of their previous nine league games resulted in victories, but they were able to stay out of relegation until recently thanks to some help from the sides below them who were losing consistently for a while.

On Sunday they played well defensively, conceding zero shots on target, but they could not generate much on the offensive side of things, firing only three targeted efforts themselves as they currently sit three points behind Juventude for the final spot in the top-flight next year.

Daniel and Patrick have done a good job of playing the role of a double-pivot as holding midfielders, but they have been let down by some poor finishing in recent games.

In their previous outing versus Gremio, they were too slow to loose balls and allowed Immortal Tricolor far too many scoring opportunities, conceding twice and failing to score themselves.

Gremio's Diego Souza celebrates scoring with Luiz Fernando in October 2020© Reuters

It appears as though there is still some fight left in Gremio at long last as they earned a point the hard way on Tuesday, scoring twice with 10-men in the final 15 minutes of play to erase a two-goal deficit and draw Flamengo 2-2.

Vagner Mancini has this team believing that they can remain in Serie A for another season, but there is still more to do as they are four-points away from the salvation that they seek, however with only four games to go there is little room for error.

This famous club have not been in the second tier of Brazilian football since 2005, and with points against the reigning league champions and Bragantino, they should be feeling pretty confident coming into this contest.

Finally, they were able to win a game on the road last Saturday and even though it was against Chapecoense, they will take whatever they can get, especially seeing as they had lost seven straight away from home before that.

Getting the ball up the field quicker and utilizing their pace in transition enabled them to get off to quick starts against Braga and Chape, while their persistent running eventually paid off on Tuesday, firing eight shots on target for a well-deserved draw.

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Gremio Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Bahia's Rossi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 13, 2021© Reuters

The Bahia backline of Nino Paraiba, German Conti, Luiz Otavio and Matheus Bahia combined to hold Dourado to no shots on target last weekend, as Danilo Fernandes picked up his second clean sheet of November.

Their leading goalscorer Gilberto missed their match against Cuiaba and has not scored a goal since October 27 but is by far their top attacking threat with 12 strikes this year, just one behind Michael for second in the league and three back on Hulk.

Jhonata Robert will not be eligible to play for Gremio in this one after receiving a pair of cautions versus Flamengo, while their backup keeper Brenno received a straight red card in what was a heated affair with 28 fouls committed between both teams.

Miguel Borja scored his fifth goal of the season to cue the comeback on Tuesday for his side as he is now three back of Diego Souza for the team lead, and Ferreira picked up his third of the campaign, moving him into a tie with teammates Alisson and Vanderson.

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Fernandes, Paraiba, Conti, Otavio, Bahia; Rodriguinho, Patrick; Rai, Ronaldo, Capixaba; Gilberto

Gremio possible starting lineup:
Grando; Rafinha, Geromel, Ruan, Cortez; Bobsin, Silva; Villasanti, Lucas, Ferreira; Souza


SM words green background

We say: Bahia 1-2 Gremio

Throughout the season, Gremio have underachieved, but they are showing us a lot this month, albeit a little too late for them to climb into the top half of the table. They have enough talent to get themselves out of their current relegation predicament, though, while Bahia rely a little too heavily on Gilberto and without much scoring depth after that.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:470964:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9517:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia
15.4%
Draw
30.8%
Gremio
53.8%
13
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on August 28, 2021
Read Next:
Klopp hits out at "really harsh" treatment of Watford managers
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Baez
Fritz
2 3
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
5 4
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
3 2
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo430110469
2Atletico Mineiro42207168
3BragantinoBragantino32105327
4Bahia42116517
5FlamengoFlamengo42114407
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
7Gremio42024316
8InternacionalInternacional32013216
9CriciumaCriciuma31206245
10FortalezaFortaleza21103214
11Fluminense31115504
12PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
13JuventudeJuventude311146-24
14Cruzeiro311146-24
15Sao Paulo31025413
16Vasco da GamaVasco410349-53
17Vitoria201123-11
18Corinthians301203-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
20Cuiaba300308-80


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!