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Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Fluminense

Flamengo
0 - 1
Fluminense


Gomes (24'), Vitinho (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Andre (90+1')
Nino (26')

Preview: Flamengo vs. Fluminense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Defending Brasileiro champions Flamengo finally have a chance to build some momentum when they take on bitter Rio rivals Fluminense at Neo Quimica Arena on Sunday.

The Scarlet-Black have not won back-to-back games since May and are down in sixth, while opponents Fluminense are 13th after going four games without a win.


Match preview

Flamengo's Rodrigo Muniz celebrates scoring their second goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

The pressure was building on Flamengo ahead of Thursday's trip to Cuiaba following defeat to leaders Bragantino and newly-promoted Juventude in the space of three games.

However, goals in each half from Pedro and Thiago Maia ensured that Rogerio Ceni's side dodged another humbling defeat in the first ever meeting between the clubs.

It was a huge victory for Flamengo, one that lifted them seven places up to sixth in the standings, and now back to within six points of Bragantino with two games in hand.

Only once this season have Ceni's charges won successive matches, but this visit of Fluminense provides a big opportunity to change that.

Fluminense manager Roger Machado on June 30, 2021© Reuters

Since beating Santos 1-0 on June 17, Fluminense have taken just two points from the last 12 on offer, most recently going down 4-1 to Athletico Paranaense.

Fred had given Fluminense the lead inside two minutes, but a Richard strike that Marcos Felipe could have done more to keep out and a Vitinho long-ranger put Athletico in front.

Ze Ivaldo then gave the visitors some breathing space before Nikao completed the scoring, leaving Fluminense boss Roger Machado with plenty to ponder.

Fluminense are winless in four away games this season, three of those finishing level, while going further back they have drawn four of their last five matches away from home.

Flamengo Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Flamengo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Fluminense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their first goal on June 13, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo are still without Everton Ribeiro and Gabriel Barbosa, who are away representing Brazil on Copa America duty.

Giorgian de Arrascaeta and Mauricio Isla are also not available for selection, restricting Ceni's options somewhat.

Pedro and Bruno Henrique are expected to lead the line once again this weekend, but Rodrigo Muniz is among those pushing for inclusion.

As for Fluminense, Samuel Xavier has been carrying a knee injury that forced him out of the defeat to Athletico Paranaense.

Ganso and Kayky may be considered for selection by Machado, but the same XI that started the last game is more or less expected to be used again here.

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Batista; Matheuzinho, Arao, Caio, Luis; Vitinho, Gomes, Diego, Michael; Pedro, Henrique

Fluminense possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Calegari, Claro, Nino, Egidio; Martinelli, Felipe; Cazares, Nene, Teixeira; Fred


SM words green background

We say: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense

Flamengo picked up a much-needed win in midweek to keep themselves within reach of leaders Bragantino and enter this game as favourites.

However, their inability to string together victories this term, combined with Fluminense's high number of draws, has us backing this one to finish all square.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo
65.0%
Draw
22.5%
Fluminense
12.5%
40
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BragantinoBragantino32105327
2FlamengoFlamengo32104227
3Botafogo32018446
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
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19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
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