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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin
Slavia Prague

Luhansk
2 - 1
Slavia Prague

Alefirenko (32'), Antyukh (41')
Snurnitsyn (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jurasek (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Slavia Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minai 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, August 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague to win 5-1 on aggregate)

Given that Slavia Prague remain unbeaten this season - having picked up seven wins and two draws in all competitions - we expect the Czech side to secure another straightforward victory over Zorya Luhansk. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawSlavia Prague
25.39% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 50.38% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (0.031999999999996 0.03)32.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.28% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)18.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)50.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 25.39%
    Slavia Prague 50.38%
    Draw 24.22%
Zorya LuhanskDrawSlavia Prague
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.39%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 50.38%

How you voted: Luhansk vs Slavia Prague

Zorya Luhansk
11.5%
Draw
15.4%
Slavia Prague
73.1%
26
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Slavia Prague
2-0
Luhansk
Tijani (81'), Masopust (90+4')

Dryshliuk (7'), Guerrero (44'), Batagov (50'), Yatsyk (56'), Turbaevsky (62')
rhs 2.0
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