Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SG2 - 0Lugano
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sabbatini (76')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mechelen 4-0 Union SG
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Lugano 6-1 Yverdon Sport
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
We said: Union SG 3-1 Lugano
Lugano will travel to Belgium with confidence following their recent results, but Union SG do still boast plenty of quality even after some key departures, and we fancy Blessin's men to gain an advantage in their home leg, leaving everything still to play for next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Lugano |
50.23% ( 0) | 23.3% ( 0) | 26.46% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
