Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 6pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis Sakhelobis Stadionis Satadarigo Moedani
Lokomotivi Tbilisi2 - 1Dynamo Moscow
Sikharulidze (54'), Gavashelishvili (76')
Samurkasovi (7'), Sandokhadze (33'), Gabadze (40'), Sikharulidze (58')
Samurkasovi (7'), Sandokhadze (33'), Gabadze (40'), Sikharulidze (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Komlichenko (90' pen.)
Skopintsev (21'), Yevgenyev (74')
Skopintsev (21'), Yevgenyev (74')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lokomotiv Tbilisi and Dynamo Moscow.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotivi Tbilisi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Tbilisi | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 39.92% | 26.66% | 33.41% |
| Both teams to score 51.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
