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Freiburg logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
West Ham logo

Freiburg
1 - 0
West Ham

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gregoritsch scores the only goal of the match as Freiburg record a 1-0 victory over West Ham United in the first leg of their last-16 Europa League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
47.5% (0.971 0.97) 22.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 30.37% (-0.881 -0.88)
Both teams to score 66.15% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.79% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)55.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.32599999999999 0.33)14.77% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.624 0.62)43.03% (-0.624 -0.62)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)22.38% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (-0.779 -0.78)55.88% (0.778 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 47.5%
    West Ham United 30.37%
    Draw 22.13%
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.37%

How you voted: Freiburg vs West Ham

Freiburg
21.8%
Draw
23.8%
West Ham United
54.5%
202
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
West Ham
2-0
Freiburg
Kudus (14'), Alvarez (42')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Freiburg
1-2
West Ham
Sallai (49')
Hofler (25')
Paqueta (8'), Aguerd (66')
Alvarez (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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