MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 18:38:57| >> :600:784290:784290:
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Borisov Arena
Sheriff Tiraspol logo

BATE
2 - 2
Sheriff Tiraspol

Kontsevoy (25'), Laptev (90+4')
Jimoh (14'), Shestyuk (41'), Kontsevoy (68'), Khadarkevich (76'), Grechiho (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cavalcante Mendes (40' pen.), Luvannor (45+2' pen.)
Garananga (6'), Kiki (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between BATE Borisov and Sheriff Tiraspol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 5-1 BATE
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 5-1 BATE
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: BATE Borisov 1-2 Sheriff Tiraspol (Sheriff Tiraspol to win 7-2 on aggregate)

Having already secured a comfortable lead, Sheriff will likely look to keep their clean sheet intact for as long as possible, and an early goal for them should bring an end to any lingering hope for the hosts. We fancy BATE to get on the scoresheet in front of their home fans but expect Sheriff to get the better of them once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawSheriff Tiraspol
25.09% (-2.863 -2.86) 26.08% (-0.201 -0.2) 48.83% (3.064 3.06)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.656 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (-1.049 -1.05)54.83% (1.052 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (-0.878 -0.88)76.13% (0.878 0.88)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85% (-2.948 -2.95)37.15% (2.949 2.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-3.042 -3.04)73.94% (3.042 3.04)
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.95899999999999 0.96)22.48% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (1.414 1.41)56.04% (-1.412 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 25.09%
    Sheriff Tiraspol 48.83%
    Draw 26.08%
BATE BorisovDrawSheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.583 -0.58)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.519 -0.52)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.09%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.335 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.295 -0.3)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 12.46% (0.83 0.83)
0-2 @ 9.3% (0.866 0.87)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.549 0.55)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.248 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.83%

How you voted: BATE vs Sheriff Tiraspol

BATE Borisov
12.2%
Draw
7.3%
Sheriff Tiraspol
80.5%
41
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Sheriff Tiraspol
5-1
BATE
Akpan Ankeye (12', 47'), Badolo (32'), Yansane (90+3', 90+8')
Apostolakis (73')
Bane (50')
rhs 2.0
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