Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax0 - 2Brighton
FT(HT: 0-1)
The Match
Match Report
Goals from Ansu Fati and Simon Adingra guide Brighton & Hove Albion to a 2-0 Europa League victory over Ajax in Amsterdam.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
56.57% ( -0) | 20.17% ( -0) | 23.25% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 66.61% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.63% ( 0.02) | 30.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.36% ( 0.02) | 51.63% ( -0.02) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.12% ( 0.01) | 10.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65% ( 0.01) | 35% ( -0.01) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( 0.01) | 60.02% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 56.58%
Brighton & Hove Albion 23.25%
Draw 20.17%
Ajax | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.23% 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.58% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.17% | 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.25% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Brighton
Ajax
43.5%Draw
23.1%Brighton & Hove Albion
33.3%147
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 09:58:45
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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