Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
