MX23RW : Friday, May 10 16:58:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.26% (-1.519 -1.52) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11) 52.2% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.879 -0.88)45.19% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.848 -0.85)67.54% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-1.714 -1.71)32.61% (1.716 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-1.967 -1.97)69.15% (1.969 1.97)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.28099999999999 0.28)17.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.49 0.49)47.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 24.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.2%
    Draw 23.53%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.456 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
15.7%
Draw
8.4%
AZ Alkmaar
75.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sugawara (42'), de Wit (90+3')
Sankoh (87')
Vidovic (34')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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