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AZ Alkmaar
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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Cambuur

AZ
2 - 1
Cambuur

Pavlidis (40'), Goes (73')
Mijnans (21'), Clasie (67'), Hatzidiakos (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johnsen (85' pen.)
Hoedemakers (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 AZ
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Cambuur

AZ have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large extent, and the odds are firmly in their favour to emerge victorious once again. We expect the hosts to emerge triumphant in comfortable fashion come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawCambuur
72.37% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1) 16.61% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 11.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (-0.161 -0.16)36.95% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.173 -0.17)59.13% (0.169 0.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)8.92% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.53% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)30.47% (0.148 0.15)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)43.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (-0.032 -0.03)79.69% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 72.36%
    Cambuur 11.02%
    Draw 16.61%
AZ AlkmaarDrawCambuur
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 72.36%
1-1 @ 7.81% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.02%

How you voted: AZ vs Cambuur

AZ Alkmaar
90.7%
Draw
2.3%
Cambuur
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 3.45pm
Cambuur
0-1
AZ

Paulissen (23')
Jacobs (55')
Clasie (90')
Milos (12')
Jan 22, 2022 7pm
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Cambuur
1-3
AZ
Uldrikis (72')
Bangura (25'), Schouten (58'), Sambissa (79')
Bangura (88')
De Wit (17'), Wijndal (33'), Clasie (60')
Gudmundsson (39'), Wijndal (86'), Aboukhlal (90+4')
Mar 2, 2017 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-0
Cambuur
AZ win 3-2 on penalties

van Eijden (50'), Weghorst (95')
van Eijden (112')

Bakker (41'), van de Streek (65'), Tissoudali (102'), Schilder (113')
Jan 27, 2016 5.30pm
AZ
3-1
Cambuur
Janssen (2', 21'), Van Overeem (13')
Barto (72')
Gregory Monteiro Alvangera (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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