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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
66.13% ( -0.83) | 17.07% ( 0.22) | 16.79% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 67.31% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.09% ( 0.07) | 24.9% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.21% ( 0.09) | 44.79% ( -0.09) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.83% ( -0.14) | 7.17% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.93% ( -0.36) | 26.07% ( 0.37) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( 0.67) | 27.48% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( 0.86) | 62.98% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.05% Total : 66.13% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.07% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.95% Total : 16.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |