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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
55.4% ( 0.92) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.13% ( -1.03) | 42.87% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.73% ( -1.03) | 65.27% ( 1.02) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.06) | 15.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -0.1) | 44.12% ( 0.09) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -1.39) | 33.23% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( -1.56) | 69.84% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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