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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
70.45% ( 0.2) | 16.76% ( -0.1) | 12.8% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.37% ( 0.27) | 32.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% ( 0.31) | 54.29% ( -0.31) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.74% ( 0.11) | 8.26% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.15% ( 0.27) | 28.85% ( -0.27) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( 0.04) | 37.64% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( 0.04) | 74.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.45% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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