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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
55.9% ( 0.16) | 23.09% ( 0.1) | 21.01% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.75) | 46.8% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.71) | 69.06% ( 0.71) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( -0.21) | 16.56% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.65% ( -0.38) | 46.34% ( 0.38) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.5% ( -0.69) | 36.49% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.72% ( -0.7) | 73.28% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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