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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
35.86% ( 0.1) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 38.42% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( 0.06) | 48.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( 0.06) | 71.07% ( -0.06) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.09) | 26.45% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.12) | 61.63% ( -0.12) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( -0.02) | 25.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( -0.03) | 59.68% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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