Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.68% ( -0.88) | 15.28% ( 0.39) | 12.04% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.97% ( -0.63) | 27.03% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.48% ( -0.81) | 47.52% ( 0.81) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.52% ( -0.3) | 6.48% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.79% ( -0.83) | 24.21% ( 0.83) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( 0.28) | 34.83% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% ( 0.3) | 71.56% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.68% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.28% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |