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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax

Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Ajax

Ajax would normally be expected to win this fixture, but they have made a very poor start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. Given that Waalwijk have won their last two games on the bounce, they should head into Saturday's game in high spirits, and we think they might be able to pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
11.69% (-0.415 -0.42) 15.9% (-0.216 -0.22) 72.41% (0.634 0.63)
Both teams to score 56.94% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.71% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.29% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)52.73% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)38.42% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.688 -0.69)75.18% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (0.113 0.11)7.53% (-0.1079 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.01% (0.283 0.28)26.99% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 11.69%
    Ajax 72.41%
    Draw 15.9%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 2.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 11.69%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.9%
0-2 @ 9.68% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.34% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-4 @ 5.4% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 5.16% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-5 @ 2.79% (0.088 0.09)
1-5 @ 2.67% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% (0.044 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 72.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Ajax
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 29
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
Ajax
Haller (14')
Alvarez (40'), Martinez (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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