EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa0 - 1Stoke
The Match
Match Report
Sam Vokes struck in the first half to send Stoke through at Villa Park
Team News
Tom Heaton and Wesley continue to recover from their long-term knee injuries.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup fourth round tie between Aston Villa and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Stoke City |
34.75% | 26.35% | 38.9% |
Both teams to score 52.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% | 51.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.45% | 73.55% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.54% | 28.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.78% | 64.22% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% | 26.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% | 61.08% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 34.75%
Stoke City 38.9%
Draw 26.35%
Aston Villa | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.9% |
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-1
Aston Villa
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Feb 21, 2015 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-27 00:08:20
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Cirstea
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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