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Bologna logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Cesena

Corazza (2'), Zirkzee (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adamo (37')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bologna and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Cesena

All competitions
Last Game: Cesena 2-2 Virtus Entella (6-5 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawCesena
63.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 20.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 15.45% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.21% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)45.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.52% (0.00099999999999056 0)13.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.41% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 63.83%
    Cesena 15.45%
    Draw 20.7%
BolognaDrawCesena
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.59% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 63.83%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 4.91%
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Bologna vs Cesena

Bologna
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Cesena
10.5%
19
rhs 2.0
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