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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
2 - 3
Bologna

Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 2-2 Bologna

The Stadio Via del Mare faithful will be in party mode on Sunday as they cheer on their team without any lingering relegation fears. Bologna will be eager to finish as high up the table as possible, but the visitors may have to settle for a share of the spoils as the hosts aim to sign off on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
35.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 36.11% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)30.68% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)66.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.6% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)66.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 35.98%
    Bologna 36.11%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.11%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
33.3%
Draw
31.0%
Bologna
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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