Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Caracas0 - 2Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Independiente Medellin.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caracas | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 41.33% | 28.36% | 30.31% |
| Both teams to score 45.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
