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Congo DR national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 25, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Morocco national football team

Congo DR
1 - 1
Morocco

Wissa (12')
Muzinga (30')
Muzinga (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tissoudali (76')
Aguerd (15'), Mmaee (42')

Preview: Congo DR vs. Morocco - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With just 180 minutes of action separating them from a place in the 2022 FIFA World Cup, Congo DR and Morocco face off in the first leg of their play-off tie at Stade des Martyrs.

Ahead of next week's return leg in Casablanca, the teams will be looking to steal a march on each other as they aim to be in the hat for November's global showpiece.


Match preview

Morocco's Sofiane Boufal celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 30, 2022© Reuters

Morocco were head and shoulders above every other African side during the previous stage of the qualifiers, as they won all of their six Group I games by a combined score of 20-1.

Vahid Halilhodzic's men failed to replicate that form at the Africa Cup of Nations in Cameroon, where they bowed out to Egypt in the quarter-final.

With five previous appearances at the World Cup finals, the Atlas Lions will fancy their chances of coming out on top against an opposing side who have only featured once at this level.

However, Morocco have won only two of their 11 encounters against Congo DR, with their last victory in this fixture coming back in a friendly 16 years ago.

Friday's visitors are yet to lose a game in 90 minutes since 2020, and another positive result in this one would certainly put them on the right track to secure a ticket to Qatar.

Congo DR fended off the threat of Benin to finish as winners of Group J having amassed 11 points from their six fixtures including a 2-0 victory over the aforementioned Benin on the final matchday.

Hector Cuper's men did not participate in January's AFCON and suffered a friendly 1-0 defeat to Bahrain in their most recent involvement last month.

Prior to that, the Leopards were on a seven-game unbeaten streak on their own patch since losing to the Indomitable Lions of Cameroon back in 2020.

With their home support cheering them on massively, Friday's hosts set out to pick up a crucial victory in their bid to end a 48-year wait for a World Cup outing.

Congo DR World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Congo DR form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Morocco World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Morocco form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Dieumerci Mbokani and Cedric Bakambu have scored a combined 35 international goals, and the forwards will be heavily relied upon to provide firepower in attack.

Porto defender Chancel Mbemba is in line to make his 65th appearance for Congo DR, which would see him move to second place in the all-time charts.

Abde Ezzalzouli has chosen to represent Morocco over Spain, and the 20-year-old could be handed his debut on Friday.

Having not featured since June 2021, Hakim Ziyech has announced his retirement from international football due to his fall-out with head coach Halilhodzic.

Youssef En-Nesyri has failed to score in any of his last 12 outings across all competitions, but the Sevilla man is expected to lead the line nonetheless.

Congo DR possible starting lineup:
Kiassumbua; Mbemba, Luyindama, Masuaku, Amale; Bolasie, Kakuta, Moutoussamy, Bastien; Mbokani, Bakambu

Morocco possible starting lineup:
Bono; Masina, Aguerd, Hakimi, Saiss; Amrabat, Amallah, El Haddadi, Louza, Boufal; En Nesyri


SM words green background

We say: Congo DR 1-1 Morocco

Morocco boast the better team on paper, but Congo DR's home form could see them come away with a point in what should be an enthralling affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Congo DR vs Morocco

Congo DR
24.4%
Draw
17.3%
Morocco
58.3%
156
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