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Orlando City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Sep 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Columbus Crew

Orlando City
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Dike (26'), van der Water (29'), Urso (69')
Urso (42'), DeZart (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carlos (52' og.), Berry (54')

Preview: Orlando City vs. Columbus Crew - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having returned to winning ways last time out, Columbus Crew travel to the Exploria Stadium on Sunday to face Orlando City looking to make it back-to-back victories.

On the other hand, the home side will be aiming to extend their streak of MLS games without a defeat which currently stands at six games.


Match preview

Orlando City SC head coach Oscar Pareja walks off the field at the end of the game against FC Cincinnati at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Orlando City were involved in a share of the spoils for the fourth time in five league games following a goalless draw versus Inter Miami on Saturday.

Despite dominating for the majority of the contest, Oscar Pareja's men were unable to find a breakthrough majorly due to their wastefulness in front of goal.

The Lions missed out on an opportunity to close the gap on league leaders New England Revolution and are currently 14 points off the top of the standings, albeit having played two fewer games.

Sunday's hosts will be confident of another positive result in a fixture which they have won each of the last four editions by a combined score of 7-2.

No team in the entire division has conceded fewer goals on home turf than the Florida-based club, who have only been breached seven times in 11 outings.

Columbus Crew head coach Caleb Porter directs his team in the first half against Atlanta United at Lower.com Field on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Columbus Crew ended a run of six consecutive losses with a dramatic 3-2 victory over Cincinnati at the Historic Crew Stadium on Friday.

Caleb Porter's men took the lead in the final minute of the first half through Lucas Zelarayan but soon found themselves behind courtesy of goals from Ronald Matarrita and Isaac Atanga, before Miguel Berry came off the bench to score two times in the final knockings.

As a result, the Crew are now just three points adrift of the last playoff spot and things are beginning to look up for them following a difficult couple of weeks.

With only one-third of their 27 points coming on the road, Sunday's visitors must improve their form away from home if they are to reach the postseason for the second season in a row.

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D

Orlando City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Columbus Crew Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Orlando City SC midfielder Nani (17) reacts after scoring a goal against FC Cincinnati in the second half at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Oriol Rosell and Jhegson Mendez are still nursing leg injuries and will be unavailable for the hosts, who will also be without Alexandre Pato due to a damaged knee.

Nani has been involved in half of his Orlando City's 30 goals this term, and the Portuguese winger is one to keep an eye on this weekend.

Gyasi Zardes and Milton Valenzuela are down with thigh injuries, while the American duo of Perry Kitchen and Aidan Morris are yet to recover from knee problems.

Following his brace off the bench last time out, Miguel Berry is expected to be rewarded with a place in the starting XI with Bradley Wright-Phillips making way.

Long-term absentees Josh Williams and Artur are still a long way off returning to action as they continue to battle with hernia and heel injuries respectively.

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Moutinho, Jansson, Carlos, Ruan; Aguilera, Michel, Mueller, Urso, Van der Water; Akindele

Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Room; Santos, Wormgoor, Mensah, Afful; Fraser, Nagbe, Zelarayan; Junior, Diaz, Berry


SM words green background

We say: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew

The visitors, buoyed by last week's victory, will be confident of picking up all three points this weekend. However, they will be going up against a very capable team on home turf, and we are backing Orlando City to edge their opponents by a narrow margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Orlando City vs Columbus Crew

Orlando City
64.0%
Draw
32.0%
Columbus Crew
4.0%
25
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New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
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5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
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14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

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1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
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5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
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13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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