MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 20:47:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
May 6, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium

Chengdu Qianbao
3 - 2
Qingdao Jonoon

Romulo (1'), Elkeson (40'), Silva (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wei (61'), Kangwa (63')
Chen (70'), Sha (84')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Rongcheng and Qingdao Hainiu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Qianbao

All competitions
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Qingdao Jonoon

All competitions
Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 0-3 Wuhan TT
Saturday, April 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawQingdao Jonoon
37.31% (0.236 0.24) 25.71% (0.105 0.11) 36.98% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 55.25% (-0.374 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.477 -0.48)48.88% (0.474 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.434 -0.43)70.97% (0.431 0.43)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)25.58% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.123 -0.12)60.46% (0.121 0.12)
Qingdao Jonoon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.414 -0.41)25.76% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.563 -0.56)60.7% (0.562 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 37.31%
    Qingdao Jonoon 36.98%
    Draw 25.7%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawQingdao Jonoon
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.152 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.98%

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