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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff


Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Cardiff City

With Dennis and Rajovic raring to do some damage from the start, Watford should be confident of exploiting a leaky Cardiff backline this weekend. The Bluebirds will be boosted by the return of Ramsey to the matchday squad, but we believe that the introduction of the Welsh legend will not be enough to prevent a win for the hosts at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
52.14% (0.012 0.01) 24.36% (-0.157 -0.16) 23.5% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.65 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.778 0.78)49.43% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.696 0.7)71.47% (-0.697 -0.7)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.304 0.3)18.93% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.506 0.51)50.44% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.56 0.56)35.59% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.574 0.57)72.36% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Watford 52.13%
    Cardiff City 23.5%
    Draw 24.36%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.5%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
60.7%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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