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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cardiff City logo

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
51.4% (0.98 0.98) 22.28% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.32% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.334 0.33)14.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.631 0.63)43.06% (-0.627 -0.63)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)26.87% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.77 -0.77)62.18% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 51.4%
    Cardiff City 26.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cardiff

Plymouth Argyle
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Cardiff City
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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